Weekend Wager: In-Depth Analysis and Best Value Bets
SUNSPORT’s Weekend Wager is your go-to guide for the best value bets from the upcoming weekend of sport. This week, our panel of experts—Will Pugh, football journalist Kweku Afari, and Betfair betting expert Sam Rosbottom—delves into the biggest FA Cup matches, including Manchester City’s clash with Plymouth Argyle and Manchester United’s encounter with Fulham. Let’s dive into their insights and best bets for the weekend, in association with Betfair.
Manchester City vs Plymouth Argyle: A Dominant City
Kweku Afari is confident in Manchester City’s dominance, predicting a strong showing from Kevin De Bruyne. "No player has been involved in more Cup goals than De Bruyne. In 26 games, he has netted nine goals and provided 17 assists. While it isn’t a big occasion, De Bruyne is the type of player who can rise to any challenge, especially against lower league opposition. Plymouth will be thrilled just to be here, and I expect De Bruyne to make his mark," Kweku explains.
Will Pugh, while acknowledging the overwhelming odds, still sees value in betting on Man City to score four or more goals at 5/2. "Man City has an impeccable record in the FA Cup against lower-league sides, winning their last 18 games by an aggregate score of 69-9. They have a history of not messing around in such matches, and their last defeat against a lower division team was 1-0 against Wigan Athletic in the 2017/18 season. Despite some recent struggles, I’m confident City will put in a commanding performance."
Sam Rosbottom also backs Jack Grealish, suggesting a bet on him to score or assist and have one or more shots on target at 11/10. "Grealish has been incredibly productive in the FA Cup this season, with four goal involvements in just two starts. He has also managed three shots in those matches, one of which was on target. This weekend presents a big opportunity for Grealish to shine against Plymouth, and I think he’ll deliver."
Man Utd vs Fulham: A Mixed Bag of Emotions
Kweku Afari believes Manchester United will secure a win, but with a twist—both teams scoring. "Surprisingly, Man Utd has an incredible record against Fulham, having lost just one of their last 21 encounters in all competitions, winning 17 and drawing three. Both teams have found the back of the net in all four FA Cup ties they’ve been involved in this season. I expect goals from both sides, but ultimately, Man Utd to sneak through," Kweku predicts, backing the bet at 100/30.
Will Pugh is a firm believer in Bruno Fernandes’s knack for scoring in the FA Cup. "Fernandes has been a rare bright spot in a generally grim season for Man Utd. In his last 11 FA Cup games, he has contributed 11 goal involvements—seven goals and four assists. He only failed to register a goal contribution in two of those matches. Fernandes loves this competition and is determined to drag United to some semblance of success this year. I strongly fancy him to be on the scoresheet at 5/2."
Sam Rosbottom, on the other hand, looks to the midfield for his bet, specifically Sander Berge. "Sander Berge has committed 14 fouls in his last 10 games, with at least two in five of those matches, including three against Man Utd in January. Given his recent form, I think a bet on Berge committing 2+ fouls at 6/4 is a solid choice. He’s been a bit of a loose cannon in midfield, and I expect that to continue in this high-stakes match."
Newbury: The Grand National Hopefuls
Moving to the racing world, Sam Rosbottom provides insights into the big handicap chase at Newbury, scheduled for 3:45 on Saturday. "This race is intriguing as it features a couple of horses in the running for the Grand National. Iroko, the favorite, is currently priced at 7/2. Billytherealbigred, the second favorite, is at 9/2. However, I’m particularly keen on Kandoo Kid, Paul Nicholls’s course and distance winner, at 11/2. Kandoo Kid was second in the race last year on heavy ground, and with the hope that the rain isn’t as bad this weekend, I think he can go one better."
Champions Trophy: South Africa’s Make-or-Break Match
In cricket, the Champions Trophy brings a crucial match between South Africa and England. Sam Rosbottom opines, "South Africa hasn’t qualified yet, and they need to win this game. They are odds-on at 8/11, while England is priced at evens. England, known for their aggressive one-day cricket, will likely go all out in this match. Joe Root, despite England’s elimination, has been a standout performer. He has scored 50-plus runs in three of his last four ODIs, and I think his bet at 6/4 to score 50 runs is a great value."
The Responsibility of Gambling
While the excitement of the weekend’s sport and betting is palpable, it’s crucial to emphasize responsible gambling practices. A responsible gambler establishes time and monetary limits before playing, only gambles with money they can afford to lose, and never chases their losses. It’s also important to avoid gambling if you’re upset, angry, or depressed. For those seeking help, resources such as Gamcare (www.gamcare.org.uk) and GambleAware (www.gambleaware.org) are available. The National Gambling Helpline can be reached at 0808 8020 133, and GamStop (www.gamstop.co.uk) offers self-exclusion options.
A Weekend of Thrills and Predictions
From the intense clash at the Etihad Stadium to the historic match at Old Trafford and the excitement of the Newbury race, this weekend promises a plethora of sporting events to keep fans on the edge of their seats. The Weekend Wager panel’s in-depth analysis and carefully selected bets offer a guide for those looking to add an extra layer of excitement to their viewing experience. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, remember to enjoy the games and ensure your wagers are part of a responsible and enjoyable weekend.
