The Struggling Defense of the Chicago Blackhawks
The Chicago Blackhawks are currently grappling with one of the most significant challenges in their lineup: their defensive pairings. At the heart of this issue is a combination of the team’s overall poor performance and the inefficiencies in how their defensemen are paired together on the ice. Among the pairs that have played 200+ minutes together at 5-on-5, Seth Jones and Alec Martinez have the lowest expected goals percentage (xG%) at a mere 38.3%. This statistic places them not only at the bottom of the Blackhawks’ defensive lineup but also as the third-worst pairing in the entire NHL. For context, the only two pairs that fare worse are Henry Thrun and Cody Ceci from the San Jose Sharks, with an xG% of 31.3%, and Ivan Provorov and Denton Mateychuk from the Columbus Blue Jackets, with a 33.3%. These numbers are a stark indication of the defensive struggles the Blackhawks are facing and the need for a significant overhaul.
The Decline of Veteran Defensemen
Alec Martinez, a veteran who has spent considerable time with Seth Jones, is clearly past his prime. Despite the Blackhawks’ efforts to spread out their defensive responsibilities, the chemistry between Martinez and Jones has not yielded the desired results. Martinez’s decline in performance is evident, and it is affecting the overall stability of the top pairing. On the other hand, Alex Vlasic, a young and promising defenseman, has shown that he can handle top minutes. His pairing with Connor Murphy or Louis Crevier, however, has not been effective, with xG% numbers of 44.1% and 43.9%, respectively. These figures, while marginally better, still highlight the need for a more reliable and productive defensive partnership. Moving Vlasic back alongside Jones could provide the stability and effectiveness the team desperately needs.
The Rookie and the Veteran: A Mismatched Pairing
When the scope is broadened to include pairings with less than 200 minutes together, the situation becomes even more concerning. Nolan Allan, a rookie making his NHL debut, and TJ Brodie, a 34-year-old veteran, form the worst defensive pairing on the Blackhawks this season. Allan, despite his inexperience, has shown flashes of potential throughout his first season, but Brodie’s performance has not been up to par. The veteran has seen his game decline significantly, and his pairing with Allan has only exacerbated the team’s defensive woes. Given the Blackhawks’ current standings and their need to develop young talent, it would be wise to give Allan more opportunities to play with more experienced and effective partners, while Brodie and Martinez take a step back.
Learning from the Data
The xG% statistics are more than just numbers; they are a critical insight into the effectiveness of the Blackhawks’ defensive strategy. The coaching and management team must pay attention to these metrics and use them to make informed decisions about player pairings. Unfortunately, this hasn’t been the case so far. Despite the clear evidence of underperformance, the team’s defensive lineup has remained largely unchanged. This lack of responsiveness is not only impacting the team’s current performance but also their long-term development and success. The Blackhawks’ management needs to be more proactive in addressing these issues and making data-driven changes to improve their defensive play.
The Need for Change
With the Blackhawks currently out of playoff contention, it is crucial to focus on developing their young talent rather than relying heavily on underperforming veterans. The team’s defensive depth is one of its most significant assets, with several young players showing promise. However, these players need to be given the right opportunities to grow and improve. Pairing rookies like Nolan Allan with more effective and experienced players could accelerate their development and provide a more solid defensive foundation for the future. The time has come for the coaching staff to reassess their defensive pairings and make the necessary adjustments to foster this growth.
Staying Informed and Looking Ahead
For fans and followers of the Chicago Blackhawks, staying updated on the latest news, game day coverage, and player features is essential. The Hockey News’ dedicated Blackhawks team site provides comprehensive coverage that can help fans understand the team’s struggles and potential areas for improvement. While the current season may be challenging, there is hope for the future, especially with the emergence of talented young players. The Blackhawks’ front office must use the data from this season to make strategic decisions and set the team on a path to a more competitive and successful future. Visit The Hockey News Chicago Blackhawks team site for all the latest updates and insights.









