Manel Kape’s Flyweight Championship Aspirations
Manel Kape is on the cusp of becoming the top contender in the flyweight division. When the UFC Vegas 103 main event was initially announced, the path seemed clear: beat Brandon Royval, who recently challenged for the title, and then face Alexandre Pantoja or the winner of the rumored Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France bout. However, Royval’s injury forced a change, and now Kape must face Asu Almabayev. Despite being lesser known, Almabayev poses a significant threat. Kape, currently ranked No. 10 at flyweight, has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in his performance against Bruno “Bulldog” Silva, where he made Silva look out of place. However, Kape’s inconsistency has been a double-edged sword, and Almabayev, a 4-0 UFC fighter with a 21-2 professional record and a 17-fight winning streak, could upset his plans. Kape must ensure the fight doesn’t reach the scorecards, as Almabayev’s ground game, while not perfect, is more effective than that of Kape’s previous foe, Muhammad Mokaev. Kape’s dynamic striking and speed give him an edge, but a single takedown could change the dynamics. Despite my reservations, I predict Almabayev will prevail and continue his ascent towards a potential title shot.
Julian Marquez vs. Cody Brundage: A Surprising Penultimate Bout
Initially, I must express my frustration with the card placement for the Julian Marquez vs. Cody Brundage bout. It’s being hyped as a co-main event, but let’s be realistic: neither fighter is a top contender, and there are no high stakes involved. Marquez is stepping in for The Ultimate Fighter 32 winner Ryan Loder and is on a three-fight losing streak, with his last win coming against the legendary Sam Alvey in April 2021. Brundage, on the other hand, went winless in 2024, suffering losses to Bo Nickal and a no-contest against Abdul Razak Alhassan after an illegal elbow incident. This bout, while not a clash of titans, is still competitive. Brundage’s gritty wrestling and ability to frustrate his opponents with relentless takedowns give him the edge. Marquez might fight with a sense of urgency, but Brundage consistently performs as if his job is on the line. I see this fight going to a decision, with Brundage emerging victorious.
Nasrat Haqparast vs. Esteban Ribovics: A Lightweight Showdown
The lightweight bout between Nasrat Haqparast and Esteban Ribovics is a genuine co-main event contender. Both fighters are known for their striking prowess and promise an explosive encounter. Haqparast, the more experienced of the two, has faced numerous tough opponents and has a reputation for his hard-hitting left hand. Ribovics, an exciting up-and-comer, is known for his punishing combinations and will likely look to capitalize on the smaller cage at the UFC APEX, where space to maneuver is limited. This could result in a series of intense exchanges, making it a strong candidate for Fight of the Night. While Haqparast is a dangerous opponent, Ribovics’s ability to land power punches and his youthful vigor give him the slight edge. I predict a close, high-octane fight with Ribovics ultimately coming out on top.
William Gomis vs. Hyder Amil: A Tale of Two Styles
William Gomis and Hyder Amil represent contrasting styles at featherweight, with Gomis often likened to the division’s Leon Edwards. Gomis is a well-rounded fighter with great cardio and a 4-0 record in the UFC, including a controversial split decision win over Joanderson Brito. Amil, a 34-year-old relative newcomer, is a knockout striker with a lot of potential but lacks the experience and consistency. Gomis’s defensive prowess and ability to drag opponents through tough rounds will be crucial. Amil’s best chance lies in catching Gomis early, but the Frenchman’s defensive skills and tactical awareness make this an unlikely scenario. I believe Gomis will dominate and secure another victory, potentially by decision.
Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson: A Battle of Ranges
The welterweight division will see a matchup between Danny Barlow and Sam Patterson, two fighters who utilize their reach and rangy builds in different ways. Barlow is a tactical striker who patiently pecks away at his opponents, waiting for the perfect moment to capitalize. Patterson, in contrast, is a counter-striker who looks to grapple and control the fight from the ground. This style clash favors Barlow, who has the better tools for dictating the pace and maintaining distance. While Patterson has shown finishing ability, Barlow’s systematic approach and ability to stay in control should lead to a knockout, likely in the second or third round. Both fighters have the potential to be mainstays in the welterweight division, but Barlow’s methodical approach gives him the upper hand.
Preliminary Matches: A Mix of Promising Talents
The prelims of UFC Vegas 103 feature five thrilling matchups. Mario Pinto faces Austen Lane, and Pinto’s well-rounded skill set should give him the edge. Chepe Mariscal, known for his technical striking, takes on Ricardo Ramos, and I expect Mariscal to outpoint his opponent. Danny Silva will likely use his experience to outlast Lucas Almeida. In the women’s flyweight division, JJ Aldrich and Andrea Lee will clash, with Aldrich’s aggressive style potentially leading to a win. Finally, Ramazan Temirov, a seasoned fighter, will look to continue his winning ways against Charles Johnson. These preliminary bouts offer a mix of promising talents and experienced fighters, setting the stage for a memorable event. Each match has its own dynamics, but I predict victories for Pinto, Mariscal, Silva, Aldrich, and Temirov.
